Макроэкономика 1 — МИЭФ, 2021 final

МИЭФМакроэкономика 12021final
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Section 1

A. Multiple-choice questions

1

In the Solow model without technological progress, the economy is in its steady state. Other things equal, a higher population-growth rate leads to:

  • (a) higher capital per worker;
  • (b) no change in saving per worker;
  • (c) higher consumption per capita;
  • (d) a higher real interest rate.

2

Consider the ISMPIS-MP model for a closed economy with fully flexible prices and wages. Initially, the output gap is zero and the central bank strictly targets inflation. An increase in transfer payments should be accompanied by:

  • (a) tight monetary policy and no real effects;
  • (b) neutral monetary policy and lower investment demand;
  • (c) neutral monetary policy and no real effects;
  • (d) tight monetary policy and lower investment demand.

3

In an open economy where only consumption and imports depend on income and taxes are proportional, the marginal propensity to import equals the marginal propensity to consume. The autonomous-expenditure multiplier:

  • (a) is necessarily less than 1;
  • (b) is necessarily equal to 1;
  • (c) is necessarily greater than 1;
  • (d) can take any value except 1.

4

In an open economy with perfect capital mobility, a fixed exchange rate and fixed domestic prices, what is the short-run effect of an increase in foreign prices?

  • (a) Output and the interest rate remain unchanged
  • (b) Output and the supply of liquid assets increase
  • (c) Output increases and the supply of liquid assets falls
  • (d) Output and the supply of liquid assets fall

5

In the ISLMBPIS-LM-BP model with imperfect capital mobility, a flexible exchange rate, and fixed prices and wages, what is the short-run effect of a higher foreign interest rate?

  • (a) Output and the domestic interest rate remain unchanged
  • (b) Output and the domestic interest rate increase
  • (c) The domestic interest rate increases, with an ambiguous effect on output
  • (d) Output falls and the domestic interest rate increases

Section 2

C. Problem

Consider a closed demand-deficient economy described by the ISMPIS-MP model. Consumption depends on disposable income, investment depends on the real interest rate, and government spending is exogenous. The central bank stabilises real output YY by choosing the nominal interest rate ii according to

i=i+μ(YY),i=i^*+\mu(Y-Y^*),

where μ>0\mu>0 and YY^* is the target level of real output.

(a) (10 marks) What is the ISIS schedule in the ISMPIS-MP diagram? Explain intuitively why it slopes downward.

(b) (10 marks) Derive the ISIS schedule analytically, assuming constant inflation expectations πe\pi^e.

(c) (10 marks) What is the MPMP schedule in the ISMPIS-MP diagram? Explain intuitively why it slopes upward and interpret the policy parameter μ\mu.

(d) (10 marks) Illustrate any difference between bond-financed and tax-financed fiscal expansion using the ISMPIS-MP diagram. Explain intuitively.

(e) (10 marks) Define the crowding-out effect and derive it analytically for bond-financed fiscal expansion. Explain intuitively why the effect on private investment may depend on how fiscal expansion is financed.

(f) (10 marks) Now suppose the economy is in a liquidity trap. Can fiscal expansion help the economy escape the trap? What are the limitations of fiscal policy, and why do policymakers use quantitative easing instead? Illustrate in the ISMPIS-MP diagram.